“This membership is the best decision I have taken ever, your analysis and foresightedness is the best. Recently, I placed a 8 fold multi from your soccer tips which proved to be a lottery. Very happy to renew my annual subscription.”
That’s the message I received from member Ankur back in August. That was a memorable midweek set of results when all 8 of my football tips paid out. I only wish I had followed his example and put all of them in an accumulator.
Football was disrupted by the pandemic but last season ended well for those VG Tips subscribers who like to bet on the outcome of games or tournaments. I tipped the Champions League winners, Bayern Munich, when they were available at odds of 3/1. I told members I could not understand why Manchester City were the bookies favourites to win the competition. They don’t have a defence!
I tipped Bayern Munich to win the Champions League at odds of 3/1 on August 13th, before they swept aside Barcelona.
I tend to swerve the Europa League games until the latter stages of that tournament. But, in the first week of August I told members I was backing both Inter Milan and Sevilla to win the Europa League, each at odds of 6/1. Remember, this was at a time when teams such as Manchester United were still in the competition and priced much shorter in the betting market. As it turned out, come the final, I could not lose as Inter Milan played Sevilla in that final which the Spanish club won 3-2. It was a win-win situation as bookies also paid out on Inter Milan simply making the final on each way terms.
Like most football fans who enjoy a bet on the game, I was excited when the new season began and confess I placed too many bets on the first full weekend of fixtures. But things improved thereafter. Mid September saw VG Tips deliver 5 winning football tips from 7 selections. Wins for Salford City 5/4, Dundee Utd 5/4, Arsenal at 8/15, Everton 8/15 and Lincoln City Win/Draw No Bet at odds of 19/20.
At the end of September I thought the odds for Leeds United to win the Yorkshire Derby at Bramall Lane were bigger than they should have been at 17/10 in the betting market. They beat Sheffield United 0-1.
Aston Villa have made some good signings since their dismal campaign last season. I told members I was backing them to win at Fulham at odds of 8/5. They comfortably beat the West London side 0-3. And Fulham provided the earliest pay out I can recall on one of my pre-season tips. Before a ball was kicked this season, I told subscribers they would be relegated and to back them at odds of 11/10. After their poor start to life in the Premier League, Paddy Power paid out on that bet as early as September 28th. A gimmick by the bookies, of course. But a welcome one nonetheless.
It’s always nice to be paid out early and that happened after just six minutes of the goalfest that was Manchester United v Tottenham. I had tipped both teams to score at odds of 3/4. Both teams to score is always good for returns. Yes, the bet is often priced odds on but all profit is good profit if you want to be a fellow profitable punter at the end of each year. That same weekend in October BTTS also paid out for the match between Leeds and Manchester City. All three Premier League tips of mine paid out that first weekend of October as Arsenal beat Sheffield United.
Dennis e-mailed to say: “I’ve never enjoyed betting on football more. Reading your analysis I’ve been better prepared to decide which teams or players I back. Thanks for your advice and being so thorough.”
It’s not just the Premier League I concentrate on. Far from it. Indeed, the best betting value can be found in the other three leagues where bookies often price teams to win at odds bigger than should be the case. On October 3rd, in the Championship, in form Bristol City won for us at odds of 2/1 and Luton Town delivered returns at odds of 4/5.
The Nations League is not a competition I get heavily involved in but, to improve returns, I placed wins for Spain and Germany in a double and both teams came out on top in their matches played on October 10th.
Paddy Power have already offered me more than double my stake should I wish to cash in my pre-season bet for Liverpool to win the Premier League. I took the 9/4 on offer when Liverpool were, inexplicably to my mind, only second favourites behind odds on favs Manchester City. But I don’t cash in. I don’t see the point of placing a bet if you’re going to pull out early. Each to their own. I know some punters are content to cash out and take some winnings rather than risk losing their stake later on. But betting is all about risk and, for me at least, patience is a key ingredient to beating the bookie at the end of each year.