The football season is not a month old and subscribers to my selections service have had their first big payout. Ironically it came in the competition i often tell members to steer clear of, the League Cup.
On Sunday I tweeted that I was taking lots of time out to try and come up with a winning accumulator in the competition now officially called the Capital One Cup (though it will always be the League Cup to me).
I was confident as is possible about the 9 teams selected in the early round played this past midweek. You never know if managers of the bigger clubs will play a strong team in this competition. But, after much study on Sunday and Monday, I sent out the selections to members.
The accumulative odds available via bookies varied wildly. SkyBet had the best odds on both options on Sunday night and Monday morning at 16-1 and 22-1. That quickly shortened to 12-1 and 20-1 later on Monday. Victor Chandler offered the next best odds.
The likes of Bet 365 were far more cautious, or should that be mean? They offered only 9-1 on one of the accumulators. It is always wise to shop around for best prices.
But whoever you placed your bet with, a big win is a big win. Profit is profit.
In each accumulator 6 of the 7 teams won their games, without having to play extra time, on Tuesday evening. That left us on the edge of our seats waiting for Everton to play League 1 team Leyton Orient at home on Wednesday night.
A formality surely?
Well it is funny how the most predictable outcome to a football match can make even the most experienced of punters a nervous wreck. But, once Everton took a first half lead of 4-0, i could relax and prepare to count my winnings. The Toffees new signing, Kevin Mirallas, scored twice (photographed above).
It was go collect time for members who took note of the midweek selections e-mail sent out on Monday and played those accas, or came up with their own versions using the same teams.
Some members simply picked four of the teams and placed a bigger stake. They won.
Some members went for the big one and put all the 9 teams in one accumulator bet.
And, the ever bold long term member Terence went a step further. He added the odds against Sheffield Wednesday to beat Premiership club Fulham at Hillsborough. Although the Owls are on a great unbeaten run at the moment, I stopped short of putting them in an accumulator. Terence went for it and, like Sheffield Wednesday, won.
But some members went and added Leicester City to my accumulators: Why? DO’H! Did I mention Leicester in my e-mail? No. What were you thinking of?
Now my accumulators go wrong plenty of times during a football season. Of course they do. Don’t yours?
Each season we are going to win a fewer number of football accas than those which fall down (so often courtesy a last minute goal or some player missing a penalty). But because the accumulators pay out at big odds, we still make a profit on them over a period of time.
Despite the fact that i tipped Liverpool to win the League Cup last season, I will not be offering too many suggestions on match bets in that competition as it progresses. For all the usual reasons, namely which eleven men will be picked in any starting line up?
I chose Liverpool around this time last year because it became clear that then manager Kenny Dalglish was going to take a full strength team to play at lower clubs such as Torquay. The chances are that the manager of a top team who does the same thing this year, will take his own club to the final next year.
David Moyes put out a good team at home to Orient last night. He knew he didn’t need to play the full first team to beat the O’s, and he didn’t. Everton might go far in the League Cup this season and are as big as 14-1 to win the competition. That price is tempting and it will not get any bigger.
It is difficult to come up with multi team winning football accumulators. We all know that. Don’t expect one every week.
But enjoy your winnings on these two. Do not give them back to the bookie.
The winning bets:-
Version 1 – at odds varying between 16 and 22-1
Norwich City to beat Scunthorpe at 4-9 QPR to beat Walsall 4-11 Swansea to beat Barnsley 4-9 West Brom to win at Yeovil at 5-6 Southampton to win at Stevenage at 5-4 West Ham to beat Crewe at 4-11 Everton to beat Leyton Orient at 1-4
Version 2 – at odds varying between 9 and 16-1