Weekend Football Selections Sept 28-30

Weekend Football Selections Sept 28-30

Well, it’s been a good season for us so far. A few winning accumulators and lots of winning single bets for those of you who prefer to bet that way.

The 9/1 midweek/weekend acca lives on after wins in the League Cup for Southampton, Man City and Chelsea.

Now we need three teams to win in the Premier League this Saturday for the 9/1 combined accumulator to return us profit.

Luis Suarez returned to the Liverpool team in midweek and the game at Sunderland this weekend will be his first Premier League game this season, following his lengthy ban.

In the Championship I think a couple of managers are in the last chance saloon and defeat for Bolton or Sheffield Wednesday could result in a change of manager. Not that either club can afford to pay off a manager or have them on so called ‘gardening leave.’

Back in the Premier League Sunderland made the change early in the season once the players complained to the owners about the behaviour of Paolo Di Canio. A chain of events I have written about here https://vgtips.co.uk/di-canio-dictator-mad-man-glad-hes-gone/

Let’s see what bets are on offer domestically this weekend 

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Premier League

Saturday

Tottenham v Chelsea has all the makings of a lively game. Of course, on the touchline, it is time for those old friends and adversaries Jose Mourinho and Andre Villas-Boas to pit their wits against each other.

In these local derbies the draw is often the safest bet. That is available at odds of 23/10 – a good price. But, based on recent form, I am sticking my neck out and going for a Tottenham home win at odds of 7/4.

Man Utd should win at home against West Brom but the single best bet price is only 3/10. I had Man Utd in that to be settled midweek/weekend accumulator, so I will not add them to any further accas.

Southampton are at home to Crystal Palace and I like the odds of the only bookie to offer odds against for Southampton’s Rickie Lambert to score anytime in the game. That’s BetVictor offering 5/4.

Both Swansea and Arsenal played in midweek. Arsenal played 120 minutes so, although the odds of 11/8 for Arsenal to win are tempting, I shall leave the win market alone in this instance. You will recall that, when making his debut, I suggested Mesut Özil to assist any goal, or the first goal, looked a good bet at the odds. Özil delivered for us. What’s more, he went and assisted goals the week after, including the first goal.

I expected the bookies to reduce the price on Özil to assist goals for Arsenal. They have indeed cut the odds for him to assist any goal in a match for Arsenal from the likes of 7/2 to as little as 9/4. Still a decent bet when you consider this man had more assists than any player in European football last season.

On that first day of the season I won on Özil to assist the first goal at odds of 15/2. That was with Boylesports. Amazingly that bookie is still offering that price. Now clearly Özil is not going to assist goals in every game he starts for Arsenal but, while that price is on offer, I shall take it again. Özil to assist the first goal at odds of 15/2.

Of course, Swansea may score the first goal as they are at home. So I shall have a saver bet on the in form Michu to score first at a a price of 7/1 with BetVictor.

There’s nothing wrong with hedging your bets. I just hope one of those two pays off this weekend.

Sunday

Liverpool are already in that midweek/weekend accumulator. You may recall that the acca was placed before Di Canio was sacked as manager of Sunderland. So I am a little worried about relying on Liverpool to win, but that bet is placed so may the force be with them! I would not take the odds of 7/10 for Liverpool to win as a single bet.

However, I am interested in the odds of Luis Suarez to score in this match. Coral have him at odds of 9/2 to score the first goal. But, if you have an account with BetFred and, like me, you fancy this bet, then place it with BetFred. That is because under their unique ‘Double Delight/Hat Trick Heaven’ bet, you would get paid out at twice the odds of 4/1 IF he scores the first goal and scores a second at any stage in the game. And, if he got a hat trick having scored the first goal, you’d be paid out at odds of 12/1.

So, for me at least, Luis Suarez to score the first goal for Liverpool at Sunderland at odds of 4/1 with BetFred is a bet and my money is down.

Everton are the third team in that outstanding midweek/weekend accumulator we want to pay off at odds of 9/1. But I would not touch them at an odds on price to beat Newcastle as a single bet.

It’s never wise to have the same club in too many accumulators.

Championship

I put my money down on Doncaster Rovers to win the South Yorkshire derby at Hillsborough a few days ago at odds of 23/10. Getting Macheda to Donny Rovers from Manchester United was an inspired and ambitious move by the Doncaster Rovers chairman. Sheffield Wednesday did make an enquiry about taking Macheda but, with owner Milan Mandaric trying to sell the Owls, Sheffield Wednesday could not afford Macheda’s wages.

Wednesday have yet to win a game this season and if, as I expect, they lose this local derby at home, manager Dave Jones will be in deep trouble. He is 6/1 to be the next Championship manager sacked.

As I write now, Doncaster Rovers are best price 13/5 to win.

Another manager under pressure is Doguie Freedman at bottom of the table Bolton Wanderers. He is also 6/1 to be the next Championship manager shown the door. Bolton look hopeless but the home game against Yeovil may have come at the right time for them. If they lose this match, then they really are in bother. But I side with a Bolton home win at odds of 3/4.

Birmingham City have, like Doncaster Rovers, taken a player from Manchester United. Like Macheda, a player who is too good for this division. Jesse Lindgard score all four goals against a hapless Sheffield Wednesday a week ago. Birmingham followed up that win with a 3-1 League Cup victory over Swansea in midweek. So Birmingham are in rich form.

They go to Reading this weekend and Birmingham City are a tempting price of 7/2 to win. I’d have been on that had Reading not signed sharpshooting striker Billy Sharp today, on loan. Sharp may well score on debut. The bookies do not have odds on Billy Sharp to score anytime as yet. That may be worth checking out before kick off.

Reading v Birmingham City both teams to score at odds of 4/5 with Ladbrokes looks a decent bet. And I side with a draw at best price of 13/5.

Barnsley are struggling and Leicester City should beat them at home at odds of 8/15.

League 1

Bradford City, promoted to this League via the play offs last season, have done well so far and are in 6th place. I side with them to beat Shrewsbury at home at best price of 4/5.

So Leyton Orient made it 8 wins from 8 games at Brentford in midweek. Is there no stopping this incredible run? Well, obviously, sooner or later it will end. But the O’s players are so full of confidence right now, I shall side with them to win again at odds of 18/19 – this time at home to Walsall.

Preston North End are fourth and have the benefit of not having played in midweek, unlike their opponents Swindon who faced Chelsea in the League Cup. So I go with a Preston win at odds of 11/8.

Rob Page takes charge at Port Vale while manager Micky Adams is laid up after a hip operation. Page was being sought after to manage other clubs in the summer and Sheffield United may now be wishing they had hired their old boy.

Port Vale have 10 points and travel to Tranmere Rovers who have only 5 points. But it is the generous price for a Vale win, and the fact Tranmere played in the League Cup this past midweek, that makes me risk a Port Vale win at odds of 19/10.

League 2

Chesterfield are flying high and rightly secured a longer term contract for manager Paul Cook this week. He has signed some good players and this Merseyside born manager is very popular with the spireite fans and players. The visit of Mansfield Town represents a local derby and those games always have some extra spice to them. But I shall go with form and suggest another win for table topping Chesterfield at odds of 11/13.

York City are struggling again this season and I fear for the Minstermen. This week I take Portsmouth to win in the cathedral city at odds of 13/8.

Finally, bottom of the table Accrington Stanley take their one point on the long journey down to Plymouth. I don’t see them coming back with another point or three so I select Plymouth to win at home at odds of 4/5.

***

Accumulators to consider

Home Alone acca at odds of 12/1 with BetVictor

Wins for Leyton Orient, Bradford City, Preston North End and Plymouth Argyle

Home and Away acca at odds of 22/1 with BetVictor

Wins for QPR (v Middlesbrough), Leicester City, Arsenal (at Swansea) and Doncaster Rovers.

I have played both the above accumulators and, for the hell of it, I have also had a go at a 185/1 magnificent 7 accumulator that comprises the teams in the Home and Away acca (QPR, Leicester, Arsenal and Doncaster Rovers) and added wins for Wolves (v Sheffield Utd), Portsmouth (at York) and Chesterfield (v Mansfield).

**

That’s all for this weekend.

I wish you good luck with your own bets.

Don’t forget to follow me on Twitter (@betonsportstips) as, some weekends, a late bet comes to mind or a good price raises its head late in the day.

Vernon

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