I am often urging members of my selections service to take time to read what I have to say about individual races, and not just skip down to the selection. Taking the time to do so can often pay off. For members following my selection, and even for those who oppose me.
Yesterday, Saturday, two of my each way selections were Bronze Angel and Saytara. There were others in the race that could win, and I highlighted that fact.But the clues were there.
For example, of Bronze Angel who was one of an intended 35 runners in the big race at Newmarket, the Cambridgeshire, I alerted members to the following… “At the foot of the weights Bronze Angel has William Buick in the saddle, that’s a good jockey booking. And, crucially, this one has experience of racing in big field events. He was third in a race of 29 runners at Ascot in June and that came after a good win at Doncaster. He was behind Ladys First that day and that one was a respectable fourth in a Group 1 race today (Friday).”The experience of big field races certainly came into play, as did the lightweight and the skills of jockey William Buick – surely a future champion flat jockey in years to come. But it was that race behind Ladys First that also attracted me because I thought Ladys First ran well on the Friday, stepping up in grade as she was.
Then, in the last race of the day at Newmarket on Saturday I selected, and was on, the two runners from Godolphin. The shorter priced horse of theirs was Marshgate Lane who faded late on in the race. At one point it looked as though that one would fight out the finish with stablemate Saytara. But then, with a great turn of speed, the last named Godolphin filly romped clear to win the race easily.
Selected as an each way bet the night before, Saytara was a massive 20-1 in the morning and then fluctuated between 16-1 and the SP price of 14-1. She won by a massive 7 lengths. What a win and what a price!
In the daily e-mail sent to members the night before i said this…
“Saytara was third at Kempton last time out. The winner that day was Pallastor which itself won a better race today (Friday) at Haydock.”
Looking back at the previous form of a horse is important but so is looking at the subsequent form of the opponents that horse has beaten or lost to in earlier races.
Those two bets worked out, returning members great profit at odds of 20-1 and 12-1. But no punter gets every bet right.
In an earlier race on Saturday I had to choose between two horses that had won for us previously. Maureen, trained by Richard Hannon, and Rosdhu Queen, trained by Willie Haggas. And I really should have read back what I had written for members. For I did tell them that Rosdhu Queen was stepping up less in class than Maureen.
Roshdu Queen, who I tipped up to win her first two races earlier this summer, looks a very smart filly indeed and is one to keep in your notebooks for the future. She could win a Group 1 race next season.
I think the most pleasing thing I heard from a member the past week came from David. He had taken time to read what I had to say about a race at Goodwood on Wednesday.
Here is what I said prior to making Ektihaam my selection in that race…
“A tasty looking class 1 Listed race in which some who have performed well in higher Group company, drop down a little in class. None more son than Ektihaam. The Roger Varian trained colt was out of his depth when racing in the French Derby, but prior to that was a close second to Bonfire in a Group 2 race at York. That form alone has to make him the pick but Primevere is a Roger Charlton runner I have always liked. The filly has been second in a couple of Group 2 races of late. She last won in a Listed race like this one – beating Opera Gal on Good to Firm ground. As you know, Opera Gal won for us recently as last week and won by 11 lengths. So while that victory by Primevere was over a year ago, she will make sure this is no one horse race.”
After Primevere beat Ektihaam (by just a neck) to win that race at odds 9-2, David mailed me to say… “Reading your Wednesday selection regarding the Goodwood 3.40, I confess to finding more reason in your words to go with Primevere rather than Ektihaam. It’s very rare that I go against you, but thanks to your own wisdom and reasoning, I did. A fair sized bet too – so I shall raise a glass to you on my birthday weekend.”
So there you have it. Read what I have to say and make your decision on which selections to bet on. And I don’t mind it when members oppose me and, like David, win.
As ever, I am just happy to see members making profit punting and bashing the bookie in the process.
David and I share that in common, and a birthday weekend.
I hope that those members who were on Bronze Angel or Saytara yesterday are also celebrating today.