The end of the year beckons and I shall finish the year in profit for the 15th consecutive year.
But, as all punters agree, 2013 has been a tough one for us all. Every serious punter I speak to says they have made less profit this year than in previous ones.
Small field races, the weather, meaner bookies and some truly dreadful racing during the last flat season have all conspired against us.
I shall be writing about the good and bad months of punting in 2013. I shall be sending you a video diary looking back at the year of ups and downs and Stattoman, who independently monitors my profit and loss, will also be writing a summary of the year of punting.
But there are still a couple of weeks to go in 2013, so let’s see if there are opportunities for a little profit on Wednesday.
Analysis & Selections
With Bernadelli stepping up to full handicap company having won a Novices’ handicap by only a neck last time out, and with Sacre Toi making a rare visit to hurdling; I shall take a chance on AP McCoy riding Golden Firth to victory. Irish trainer Tony Martin has booked the champion jockey for this first outing in England following a mixed career so far over in Ireland.
Win Golden Firth 9/2
Matmata de Tendron has won from a handicap mark higher than carried today, but that was some time ago and the 13 year old grey gelding is not getting any younger. We’ve won on him in the past and I’d love to see him involved in the finish. He did win over this course and distance last month and he beat Presented by 11 lengths that day. Presented has gone on to win a good race since. So, at 8/1 currently, do not rule out the old boy Matmata de Tendron.
Shadow Boxer, another grey, is only 8 years of age and has not been seen on a racecourse for 343 days – but he has won when fresh in the past. A year ago he was well beaten by Boris the Blade and is even worse off at the weights today than 12 months ago. Boris the Blade has not been the same horse since, but is dropping down the handicap and was 6th behind the aforementioned Presented last time out.
More a hopeful than expectant each way bet for me.
Each Way Matmata de Tendron 9/1
Leicester – where there are too many tiny field races
This is one of the bigger field races at Leicester today.
The two trained by David Pipe interest me most. New recruit Garde Ville is favourite based on performances over in France. At odds of 5/2 he may be a bet for some of you, but not for me.
I’d rather chance stablemate Bygones Sovereign. Because number one stable jockey Tom Scudamore is on Garde Ville, it offers the chance for the more than capable young claiming jockey Thomas Bellamy to get back aboard my each way selection.
The last time the pair combined they won at Exeter and from a very similar handicap mark. The 7 pound claim of Bellamy should make Bygones Sovereign competitive again. Last time out, without the benefit of that claim, the gelding was second in a decent race.
Each Way Bygones Sovereign 12/1 **Now a Non Runner
The two that were narrowly in front of Little Indian when that one finished third here last month have not performed well since, so I am not as convinced as some that Little Indian is a sure thing to win this.
But the price of 4/1 is one worth chancing as Little Indian races from the same handicap mark today as when losing by only three quarters of a length that day. And, importantly over this trip of 7 furlongs, he has the ideal draw in stall 1.
Win Little Indian 9/2
That is all for Wednesday.
Back with you in 24 hours for racing on Thursday.