Racing on a Sunday is often not of the greatest quality. Hence why I rarely offer betting tips on the Sabbath. I assure you that it has nothing to do with religion!
But as we reach that stage of the year when the end of the flat turf season overlaps with the beginning of the jumps season proper, there were some good betting opportunities in Ireland last Sunday and, along with my lovely and loyal members of VG Tips, I took advantage of some decent prices on offer.
VG Tips subscribers were offered selections in 6 Irish races. All 6 delivered profit, including 4 winners!
First up, here’s the advice I offered members regarding the opening maiden at the Curragh and a filly called PRECIOUS MOMENTS.
“Sometimes even the very best of trainers have to drop one of their horses down to such a low level of racing in order to give the loyal owners a win. After all, they pay the bills and having a horse trained by Aidan O’Brien can’t be cheap!
“So it is that Precious Moments is entered into this low class maiden. The filly has raced six times. Five of those outings have been in Group Class races, including Group 1. The last time she was in a maiden it was on debut. She finished a length third behind a certain Albigna – a subsequent Group 2 and Group 1 race winner.
“Precious Moments meets nothing of the class of those who beat her in Group company. Opponents such as Love, Daahyeh and the aforementioned Albigna. If she doesn’t win this race, she may never win. IF betting in this race, take the early price. It’ll not last.”
She won. Some members spotted my fondness for being ironic regarding the owners. They’re not short of a bob or two. The 11/8 on offer when I e-mailed members, the price I took, did not last. On the day Precious Moments won at SP price of 8/11.
Next up. Another Aidan O’Brien trained winner. TANGO won at SP odds of 11/8.
Here’s the information I sent them regarding this Class 1 Listed Stakes race.
“The Aidan O’Brien trained Tango is another example of the trainer dropping a horse down in class with the aim of securing a rare win for the owners. Tango has also been racing in Group class company. Beaten by the likes of Albigna, Raffle Prize and stablemate, Love. In the Group 1 Cheveley Park Stakes last month, Tango was fourth and just four and a quarter lengths behind the impressive winner, Millisle.”
Another Class 1 Listed race followed and I fancied the outcome of the race would be between two. You can now read the analysis sent to members of VG Tips on Saturday, twenty four hours before racing.
“I first looked at this race with a view to selecting Downforce to win. After all, the second place finish behind my Speak in Colours last time out was a good performance in Group 3 company and Downforce looks to have ground conditions to suit on Sunday.
“But then I look deeper and discover Downforce has previously been well beaten by at least two others in this race, Flight Risk and Make a Challenge.
“Make A Challenge steps up in class here but did win a handicap by six lengths last time out. Jockey James Doyle flies to Ireland to try and make it four wins from four rides aboard Make a Challenge. It is the case that when Make a Challenge easily beat Downforce on soft ground over course and distance in August, Make a Challenge carried much less weight that Downforce.
“They meet on Sunday racing from level weights. Downforce has raced in ten Listed races, winning two of them. Both those wins came on heavy ground, so he may relish conditions on Sunday and that Group 3 runner up performance recently is a decent piece of form. But I’m not convinced he’s the most reliable.”
MAKE A CHALLENGE (above), a 13/8 tip the day before racing, won. Downforce was second.
18 runners would go to post for the competitive Irish Casarewitch. A day earlier, at Newmarket, Irish trainer Willie Mullins had trained the winner of that Cesarewitch Stakes. I fancied he would do the same on Sunday. I was right…and wrong.
“The Willie Mullins trained Saglawy has a further spin on the flat prior to another winter campaign over obstacles. The gelding won a soft ground race at Listowel by five lengths last month and carries less weight this day. He’s better over hurdles than on the flat but will love the soft/heavy ground on Sunday.
“For those who like to back something at a bigger each way price in races of this type, Red Gerry will appeal.
“Red Gerry tries two miles for the first time. Whether he has the stamina to last that distance on heavy ground, we must wait to discover. He was finishing fast and staying on at the finish of that race over 1 mile 4 furlongs when finishing second.
Willie Mullins trained the winner of the English Cesarewitch today. I fancy he may do the same in his native Ireland.”
Mullins did train the winner. But it wasn’t Saglawy. Stablemate Royal Illusion won at odds of 10/1. But this was the type of race in which I always offer a bigger price selection as an each way bet and my 16/1 tip Red Gerry finished fourth, so ensuring I and followers made some profit in the race.
That was also the case in the last race on the Curragh card. A race which comprised of 28 runners. I had offered two each way tips the day before racing. Pulse of Shanghai, when priced at 13/2, and Little Clarinet at 14/1/ They finished second and fourth respectively. Further profit.
All 5 races chosen for analysis and racing tips at the Curragh on Sunday returned profit for members of VG Tips. But we weren’t done yet.
At Limerick it was the JT McNamara Munster National Handicap Chase, a race named after the late jockey who tragically suffered life ending injuries in a fall.
This was my first jumps racing tip of the Irish National Hunt season. Here’s is part of my preview sent to subscribers.
“Gordon Elliott has the hat trick seeking The Big Lense. One of those two victories saw the gelding beat the re-opposing Cabaret Queen by two and a quarter lengths. It’s worth noting that Cabaret Queen carried 10 stone 4 pounds that day, compared to the The Big Lense carrying 10 stone 3.
“As they meet again here, Cabaret Queen is much better off at the weights. She carries 9 stone 12 while the one who beat her last month, The Big Lense, sheds 10 stone 8 this day. A lighter weight on likely heavy ground over three miles has to be a good news for connections of Cabaret Queen.
“At the time of writing Cabaret Queen is first reserve to get into this race. So one other horse needs to be withdrawn for her to start the race. I would expect there to be withdrawals between now and then in which case the Willie Mullins trained Cabaret Queen will go to post.“
So I told members I would be backing both on each way terms. Cabaret Queen at 8/1 and The Big Lense at 12/1.
The last named was racing fine until making a couple of jumping errors, the last of which saw The Big Lense unseat the jockey. Not a problem.