Jon Wozniak concentrates on those Premier League matches being covered on live television.
What follows are his thoughts about those games and the bets he fancies in them. They will often differ from Vernon’s own football tips which anyone subscribing to VG Tips on a monthly or annual basis can receive by signing up to VG Tips by clicking on this link.
Jon likes sticking his neck out and look for something at a big price. His fancies for the televised games this weekend follow that pattern.
Newcastle v Leeds United 8pm SkySports
It’s second-from-bottom versus fourth-from-bottom on Friday night, as Newcastle host Leeds United. This is the 25th meeting between the clubs in the Premier League. Leeds did the double over Newcastle last season. In their last five league matches, both sides have an identical record, losing two, drawing two, and losing one in their last five league matches.
Newcastle have conceded more goals than any other side in the Premier League this season (12), while Leeds have faced the most shots on target (28). – via premierleague.com
Manchester United put Newcastle to the sword at Old Trafford last weekend. Unfortunately for the Magpies, they had to play against Cristiano Ronaldo. I was so confident of a United win, I placed a wager on a Ronaldo brace and a 4-0 win. Close, but no cigar.
Leeds were hammered 3-0 by Liverpool. Jürgen Klopp’s side didn’t get out of third gear. Liverpool had 30 attempts at Elland Road. Leeds were overrun in midfield and it could have been a lot worse for them. The last time Leeds won none of their opening five matches in the top division was in 1946/47. Diego Llorente is a doubt for the visitors after picking up a knock against Liverpool.
The draw looks best value for this game, priced at 13/5 with several bookies. A 0-0 draw wouldn’t surprise me.
Wolves v Brentford 12.30 BT Sport
The Premier League’s early kick off sees two teams struggling for goals. Wolves average .5 goals per game, with Brentford faring slightly better at .75 goals per game. Those numbers must improve if the respective clubs are to stay out of the bottom three. This is the first meeting between the clubs in the Premier League.
Wolves come into this game on the back of an unlikely 2-0 win at Watford. Bruno Lage’s side were gifted a Watford own-goal. Debutant, Hee Chan Hwang scored the other. Brentford’s last outing was disappointing. They lost for the first time this season, 1-0 at Brighton.
The Bees played well, especially during the first half. A Leandro Trossard stoppage-time goal snatched away a third Brentford clean sheet, and a valuable point.
Being ruthless in front of goal is vital in the Premier League. Thomas Frank must keep faith in Ivan Toney and Bryan Mbeumo. Toney has scored this season, unlike Mbeumo, a player who had plenty of chances against Brighton. The goals will come for Mbeumo. I’m taking Mbeumo at 5/1 as an anytime scorer, with Bet 365.
This could be a cagey affair, with both sides desperate for goals. Paddy Power offer odds of 4/1 for a Brentford win. The draw looks value at 11/5 with the Bet 365 and Paddy Power, and that’s where I’ve placed a small personal wager.
Aston Villa versus Everton 17:30Sky Sports
Aston Villa host fourth placed Everton in tonight’s Premier League game. Villa relish playing this fixture with 20 wins and 13 draws in 52 meetings. Everton’s last win against Villa came in March 2016.
Rafa Benitez made headlines when he returned to Liverpool as the Everton gaffer. Benitez’s return to the Premier League as been almost perfect. Three wins and a draw is good enough to put Everton in the top-four. The Toffees are unbeaten in five games in all competitions.
Dean Smith’s side come into this game without a win in two. A draw with Brentford proceeded a 3-0 defeat away to Chelsea. The goal differential table doesn’t lie. It’s a metric worth paying attention to. Smith’s side gives up an average of 1.75 goals per game.
Both Manchester clubs are the only teams (11) to score more than Everton (10) after four Premier League games. Dominic Calvert-Lewin and Demarai Gray lead Everton’s line well with three goals each. Calvert-Lewin has had 11 shots this season, but he will miss Saturday’s game because of injury.
Considering club form, and Benitez’s managerial experience, I’m taking Everton, priced at 2/1 for the win.
West Ham versus Manchester United 14:00 Sky Sport
David Moyes faces his former team in Sunday’s lunchtime kick off. This will be Moyes’ 8th attempt to defeat his United since departing from Old Trafford in 2014. The Hammers had started the season with a bang, winning their opening two games with four goals in each. Since then, results have simmered. Consecutive draws dropped West Ham into 8th place. Moyes’ side enjoyed a midweek 2-0 victory against Dynamo Zagreb.
A positive result for West Ham on Sunday depends on whether their influential players show up. Michail Antonio is in significant form. The former Sheffield Wednesday winger is the club’s top scorer with four goals. he’s also had 18 shots this season. Antonio was on the score sheet in midweek. Declan Rice is a fantastic midfielder. The influential midfielder scored the other goal in Zagreb.
Manchester United come into the back of this game after a comfortable 4-1 win against Newcastle, with Cristiano Ronaldo scoring a brace on his return to United. I placed a wager on a 5-0 United win and a Ronaldo brace. You can always count on Steve Bruce to let you down.
I never considered Ole Gunnar Solskjaer’s side a serious Premier League contender until they re-signed Ronaldo. He’s arguably the greatest player to have played the game. It’s a debate I would love to have with Vernon Grant.
Solskjaer has the best player in the Premier League, and when he is on the pitch, United have a chance of winning. The game works in mysterious ways. Young Boys had a surprising 2-1 win against United in the Champions League.
West Ham must be sick of the site of United in the Premier League era, losing 30 of their 50 head-to-heads. The Hammers lost both games last season. Despite home advantage, I don’t fancy West Ham’s chances on Sunday. I’m taking United to win 3-1.
The bookies price United as clear favourites. Odds of 8/11, 3/4 and 5/6 are on offer across the board. I’ll place a small wager on a Ronaldo brace, priced at 9/2 with Paddy Power.
Spurs versus Chelsea Sky Sports 16:30
This is the 59th time the London rivals have gone head-to-head in the Premier League. Chelsea have won 31, and lost seven.
If Spurs play like they did against Cyrstal Palace they will lose this game by a cricket score. During the game at Selhurst Park, I had to check the stats to see if Harry Kane was on the pitch. Even with 11 men on the pitch, Spurs were awful.
I do not know why the European Conference league exits, but it’s a competition Tottenham find themselves in. With Sunday’s game in mind, Nuno Espirito Santo hooked Kane early in the second half, during the midweek European game. Lucas Moura came off injured.
The 2-2 draw at Rennes has not convinced me Tottenham’s defeat at Palace was a bad day at the office. Nuno has got plenty of work ahead of him, because Sunday’s opponents are in superb form.
Chelsea can make club history by winning on Sunday, notching up six away league London derbies. Thomas Tuchel is a man with a plan. The European Champions dropped points at Anfield, but they won their other three games without conceding.
Romelu Lukaku scored in midweek. The Belgian international has made his mark on his Premier League return, scoring three times. Chelsea look like a complete team with Lukaku upfront, but Tuchel will have to rest him at some point.
Two players in great form are Reece James and Jorginho. James scored a stunning strike against Brighton on opening day, he’s also had two assists. Jorginho is a midfield general. The Italian makes his 101st appearance for the Blues on Sunday. Sky Bet offer odds of 7/2 for Jorginho as an anytime scorer.
I can’t see Spurs getting a positive result from this game. They are without several key players. Japhet Tanganda is suspended. Giovani Lo Celso, Cristian Romero and Davinson Sanchez remain in quarantine. Son is unlikely to return until later this month.
Bet 365 and William Hill offer odds of 7/1 for a Chelsea 2-0 win. That’s my NAP.
The above are the viewpoints of Jon Wozniak. As with all those of us keen on our football, we each have our own betting fancies.
Betting on football has never been more popular than it is today.
Since 1998, Vernon has been offering subscribers both football and racing betting tips and finishing the year ahead of the bookie. Vernon offers single match win bets, anytime and first goalscorer bets, accumulators at big odds and more.