The benefit of taking an early price shone through again on Saturday. Two horses came past the post at much shorter odds than those available when members were mailed my tips.
Galician won for members on Saturday. And, if like me they took the early price with Bet365, members were on at odds of 10/1.
A price that hit me between the eyeballs on Friday night. A price that was too big.
On the day there was a Rule 4 applied due to two non runners. A reduction in returns of 10 pence in the pound. But even taking that into account, the returns on the early price of 10/1 were very good. After all, the SP price was only 4/1.
Galician was another winner for trainer Mark Johnston. He had a very good 24 hours between Friday and Saturday. His stable enjoyed several winners.
This is what I told members of my selections service when analysing that race, the 2.05 at Newbury:-
“Field of Dream had Galician 5 lengths behind in 10th in a big field, Class 2 handicap at Newmarket last Saturday. But Galician did not have a good draw and did perform well among those horses racing on the other side of the track from that which Field of Dream won the race.
Galician is a Mark Johnston trained filly who doesn’t win as often as she should. But this smaller field may be more to her liking.”
And so it proved.
There was further evidence on Saturday of the benefit from taking an early price. That is on ones you feel sure you want to back.
Ryan Moore is my favourite jockey and he was riding Waila in the 2.25 at Newmarket.
Priced at 9/4 on Friday night with several bookies, I took those odds. Waila won at the much skinnier price of 5/4.
While I have my doubts about some of the ties between jockeys and bookies, I do find that Ryan Moore’s column for Betfair gives his honest appraisal of the horses in the races in which he has a ride, including his own chances.
Though someone else puts the column together, I read the words and can imagine Ryan Moore saying them. He doesn’t tend to go over the top when talking about his own chances in a race, not in a “mine’s the best horse in the race” type of way. He balances up the pros and cons of his ride.
Indeed, I suspected he would not be riding Es Que Love to victory, as I had hoped, in the first race at Newmarket on Saturday once I read Ryan’s column on Saturday morning.
The former Champion jockey was very complimentary about opponent Snowboarder. He clearly thought that one had the best chance. It won at odds of 13/2. So I would say that the Ryan Moore column is worth a read.
That is what profitable punting is all about. Not taking the opinion of just one source. Be it jockey, trainer, punter or tipster. Not believing everything you read from jockeys, but equally not disbelieving every word either.
It is when proven, good, reliable more often than not sources all come to the same conclusion that you should sit up and take notice.
Trainer Richard Fahey was big on the chances of his Peniaphobia winning the big race last Saturday. He really fancied it would win.
Peniaphobia is the fear of poverty.
The charming Yorkshire owners of that horse said that watching the colt win the Super Sprint was “what dreams are made of.”
Thanks to the prize money of £123.000, they will not be poor.
And, thanks to taking the early price on Waila and Galician, neither will members of the home of profitable punting – VG TIPS.