Betting on football is back. Hurrah! You may think football has hardly been away but September heralds the return of the English football leagues. Football in Scotland is already underway. In summer 2021 we can look forward to the delayed European Championships.
As ever, I will be here studying form and statistics and offering members of VG Tips profitable betting tips for the year ahead.
Single bets on teams to win a match. Sometimes predicting a draw at good odds. Anytime goalscorer is a popular personal bet. When a player is in striking form it can take time for bookies to react and you often get a good price about a player to find the net. Both teams to score is another bet that often pays out. Do the two sides in question both score and concede in games more often than not? If so, both teams to score is likely to return you profit.
Then there are my own accumulators. Sometimes I simply offer a four teams to win accumulator. Some bookies offer to return your stake as a ‘free bet’ if only one team lets you down. That offers you a chance to try again the following midweek or weekend. Other weeks I am more ambitious. Inevitably, if you were to have an accumulator bet every week of the season, your bets will pay out less often than they don’t. Whether you include only four teams or go for monster bets such as those comprised of 7, 10 or 12 clubs, you are more likely to lose than win.
But when you do win on a football accumulator bet the profit is often so big as to make up for a few losing bets. Accumulators are fun bets. You place them not expecting success, but loving it when they pay out. As this one did at odds of 16/1 at the beginning of the year.
Value is always what I look out for. Probability and price are what a profitable punter needs to be prioritising.
Ideally the odds on offer will be odds against but with football these days you can still find value when the bet in question is priced odds on.
I do the form study and homework that subscribers to my VG Tips service simply don’t have the time to do. In addition to week by week football match tips, I also offer season long predictions for promotion, relegation and trophy wins. This past season alone I tipped the winners of the Champions League and Europa League.
Last summer, before a ball had been kicked in the 2019-20 season, I tipped Norwich City to finish the season bottom of the Premier League at odds of 4/1. That was definitely a value winner as the Canaries ended the campaign thirteen points below the next team.
Here are the words I wrote to members last summer when it came to placing an each way bet for who would be top goalscorer in the top flight:- “Jamie Vardy could score more if playing the majority of games and presuming that he will be taking the penalties for Leicester City. Jamie Vardy each way at 20/1 (NAP) with Bet365 is a bet I shall take. In order to return profit he only needs to do what he did last season and finish in the top four.”
Vardy ended the season as the top scorer in the Premier League with 23 goals. What a fabulous winning football bet.
At lesser odds I also suggested an each way bet on an Arsenal player in the same betting market. Here again is what I suggested to subscribers:- “Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang for Arsenal at an each way price of 8/1. Remember, bookies will return on the first 4 top scorers if you place your bet on each way terms.”
Aubameyang ended the season one goal behind Vardy, finding the net twenty two times.
Vardy and Aubameyang in the leading goalscorer betting market were very profitable bets for myself and members who like to bet on football.
Leicester City to finish in the top ten was, I told members in August of 2019, “a gift” even at odds such as 8/15 and 1/2. The Foxes were in the top four for much of the season and finished it in fifth place.
Leeds United are back in the Premier League and were my 11/10 tip for promotion from the Championship.
Going in the opposite direction, I tipped Charlton Athletic to be relegated to League 1. That is where they will begin the new season.
Robert Ryan is my Scottish football expert and in the summer of 2019 he suggested backing the experienced striker Jermaine Defoe in the Scottish Premiership top goalscorer market, on each way terms, at odds of 11/1. Defoe finished second having scored thirteen goals and therefore returned profit.
In the Scottish Championship, Robert tipped Dundee United to win the league at odds of 2/1. They did precisely that by the margin of fourteen points.
In League Two in Scotland he tipped Edinburgh City each way for top spot with bookies paying out on the first three. Edinburgh came second so, at odds of 15/2, that bet also returned some profit and your stake.
And that’s what my service has always been about. Whether it is betting on football and/or horse racing. It’s about giving as little of your money as possible to the enemy, the bookies. Winners for sure. But also about making profit with each way bets that deliver returns. It all counts at the end of a calendar year.
With football we had the suspension of some leagues and the premature ending of others due to the pandemic. In some instances it ruined some pre-season prediction bets, but several others paid off handsomely despite the disruption.
Now we begin a new season with a clean slate. We can look forward to a full season of domestic action to bet on followed by the European Championships next summer.
Join me as I offer betting tips on football this year, next year and every year thereafter. My service has been on the go since 1998. Much has changed. But not the aim and not the personal service I offer. To finish each year ahead of the bookie. Supplying subscribers with regular betting tips on football and horse racing.
Until October 1st there is a discounted annual membership offer. £120 per year (£10 a month). That £120 fee is non refundable. For it you receive football and racing analysis and tips for a full twelve months from the day you join VG Tips. On October 1st that annual membership will revert to the usual £199.
Or you can join as a recurring monthly member for £25 or for one month only for £30. Whichever option is best for you.