When you’ve backed a horse at odds of 8/1 and they go on to win by 11 lengths, you know you’re on to a good thing.
It was an interview given by trainer Richard Hannon that first alerted me to his colt called Mums Tipple (pictured above).
Here’s a sample of what I wrote to members in my analysis for the Class 2 Yearling Stakes at York: “I’ve lost count of how many times I have been looking for the second outing of the Richard Hannon trained, Mums Tipple. Hannon has spoken very highly of his colt, a son of Footstepsinthesand. At Ascot in July, Mums Tipple won a Class 2 maiden by the margin of a neck. Only a length separated the first four in this race. So a very close thing. Despite the narrowness of that victory, Hannon almost drools when talking about Mums Tipple. He clearly likes what he sees at home. The second and third horses in that July race have yet to race again but the fourth and fifth horses have gone on to win.”
Yes, it was only a Yearling Stakes. Yes, Mums Tipple will have to prove himself capable of winning much higher grade races. But I was very impressed with what I saw and I trust my eyes before anything else. Yes, there was a look of Frankel about him as he won going away, trouncing his rivals.
The respected horseracing analyst Simon Rowlands knows all that is important about timings and sectionals.
He wrote: “Anyone wishing to belittle Mums Tipple’s achievement must explain how the colt managed not only to beat his 20 rivals pointless but to run significantly faster than a useful nursery winner who carried 11 lb less and a Lowther winner (on the same day) and Gimcrack winner who both carried 5 lb less.
“The most impressive comparison is between the time of Mums Tipple and that of Living in the Past, who won a Group 2, no less, just half an hour earlier. The headline figures suggest both performances were achieved in similarly efficient style, but Mums Tipple was four to five lengths faster in both the first and second halves of the race.”
Mums Tipple was just one Ebor meeting success for myself and subscribers to VG Tips.subscribers to VG Tips.
Stradivarius did what he always does for us. Win. For the second year running, he won the million pound bonus prize when landing the Lonsdale Cup Stakes. Stradivarius stands out with his white face and four white socks. He always does just enough to win races. It’s now nine successive victories and thirteen in total from eighteen career outings.
Day one of the meeting on the Knavesmire saw 16/1 each way tip Arecibo finish third in the opening race, returning decent profit.
In the second race of the meeting, the Acomb Stakes, my 8/1 each way tip Harpocrates finished second, beaten by a neck, but being on each way ensured VG Tips members not only got their stake returned, but also a little profit. It all counts.
Another near miss came when Crystal Ocean was beaten a head by Japan in the Group 1 Juddmonte International Stakes.
Day 2, Thursday, was a memorable one. Not only did Mums Tipple win well for my followers, but the mesmerising mare Enable won again – her last race on UK soil. Another winner for members was 3/1 tip Search for a Song, which won a Listed race for fillies and mares. The final returns came when Chaleur, a very reliable each way bet, was third at 10/1 in the final race of the day.
While Stradivarius was the star at York on Friday, I was also pleased that my tip Molatham won, so proving my analysis to be spot on.
Here’s part of my pre-race analysis that members always receive the day before racingmembers always receive the day before racing so allowing them time to read and digest what I have to say and potentially take advantage of any value early prices.
“Moments after Mums Tipple stunned those who watched him win at York, Molatham was backed into favouritism at current odds of 9/4. Why? Because when Mums Tipple won first time on a racecourse at Ascot last month, the one he beat by just a neck into second was none other than Molatham.
It’s no guarantee of a win, of course. But if an opponent making a debut got within a neck of a subsequent 11 length winner, then Molatham could also be something rather good.”
On the final day of the York Ebor meeting my 25/1 each way tip Raymond Tusk was a fast finishing fourth in the feature race, the very competitive, twenty two runner Ebor Handicap. From the off, as instructed, jockey Jamie Spencer took Raymond Tusk to the back of the field. Now that Richard Hughes is no longer a jockey, there is not better man in the saddle to deliver a horse to challenge late in a race.
Earlier in the week, Spencer had delivered me and members an 11/2 winning NAP at Salisbury with Mohican Heights. Nice one, Jamie.
The danger with trying to ride a winner coming from last to first is that you meet traffic coming back towards you, other horses getting in your way. Finding a gap to weave your way through traffic, with only seconds to make a decision, is the challenge. Aboard Raymond Tusk, the jockey found a gap but too late to catch the winner. It was pleasing to me that so many commentators who watched the race thought the same as me. Namely that Raymond Tusk was the one to take out of the race. It was an impressive run and we made some nice profit via that each way tip.
I have urged members to make sure Raymond Tusk is in their ‘ones to watch out for’ notebook. He’s in mine. As is, from York, Molatham and Mums Tipple.
So one of my favourite race meetings, staged at my favourite flat race track in the UK, was a profitable one for myself and monthly or annual members of VG Tips – my long established selection service.