Super Saturday September 3rd saw me offer 5 winning tips from 6 races selected for members on Saturday September 3rd. All the winners were odds against bets.
The day began well when the newcomer I tipped to win at Ascot, Frontispiece, won at SP odds of 7/1 (as captured above by Ascot Racecourse). Owned by the Queen, trained by Sir Michael Stoute and ridden by the best, Ryan Moore, I told members that this newcomer was only foaled last February but had a good pedigree. The Shamardal colt won in a photo finish and will likely go on to better things.
That victory was quickly followed by a fantastic win in a big field handicap at a big price. Dutch Law was available at 16/1 late on Friday night and that each way selection won with something to spare at Ascot. The SP was 12/1.
I explained my selection and advised members like this on Friday night: “Dutch Law catches my eye. The early betting market prices the gelding at 16/1. Rarely out of the first four home, that entices me to trust the Hughie Morrison trained gelding to return some each way profit. The former course and distance winner will find this tougher than recent races, but he won a Class 2 handicap last month with the same claiming jockey in the saddle. The handicap mark is the same as when finishing third last time out, beaten a length and a quarter after fading in the last furlong of a race over further than this one.”
Over at a very wet Haydock Park my NAP (favourite) bet of the day won a Group 3 race despite the atrocious conditions. Frankie Dettori rode Hathal to win at a value price of 7/2.
This is what I told members in my write up to them the night before racing: “Hathal is trained by the very much in form Willie Haggas. Prior to his winners on Friday, Haggas had trained 38 runners in the last fortnight, 20 of which have finished first or second. This colt of his has not raced for almost a full year but is ready to go. He would be happier should there been a decent amount of rainfall – as is forecast – before the race.”
A few minutes after Hathal came past the post first, over at Kempton Park, the shortest priced tip of the day won by a big distance. It was too easy for the Mark Johnston trained The Last Lion, tipped by me the night before when priced 7/4 in the market. I told members the following: “A Group 3 in which I fancy the Mark Johnston trained The Last Lion may have too much experience for the opposition. He has finished second behind Prince of Lir at Group 2 level and third at that level behind Blue Point last month. He faces nothing as good here and the drop back down to Group 3 may bring about another victory.”
The feature race of the day was the Sprint Cup at Haydock. The heavy rain arrived and, as I warned members the night before, the favourite Limato was withdrawn as a consequence. That would inevitably lead to a Rule 4 reduction on returns if you placed your bet before Limato was declared a non runner.
But whether you took the 11/2 the night before, or the SP 7/2 on the day, you knew that Quiet Reflection was going to win a good time before she passed the post. The filly has had a great season and her winning may not be at an end just yet.
Here is what I told members about her the night before Super Saturday: “The 3 year old filly Quiet Reflection won the Group 1 Commonwealth Cup. While that wasn’t the strongest Group 1 you’ll ever see, she did finish a good third behind Limato… Quiet Reflection will not care about what condition the ground is.”
Those who have been around a while know that not every day of punting returns such huge profit. You must be able to suffer the downs while making sure you very much enjoy such ups. But annual profitable punting is a 12 month affair, not an overnight sensation. Members who have stuck with me for years know what I am talking about.
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