On Boxing Day, at the races and on the football, we bashed the bookies! 12 winning tips in all at the races.
The day after Christmas is always a big day of racing in the UK and Ireland. So members had plenty to consider today. And the winners came home first at all prices.
JacksonsLady was the biggest price winner at odds of 12-1. Katie Walsh rode that to victory at Leopardstown. And the classy Dynaste was one of the shorter priced winners at 4-7. Something for everyone and to suit all pockets and punting tastes. That is what I aim for.
I was particularly pleased with the wins of Blood Cotil and Cape Tribulation. And for very different reasons. The first named was left at an odds against price of 5-4 by bookies for many hours after information came my way (and the way of other punters) that the biggest danger to that one in a race over in Ireland was actually a non runner. It is not hard to see why.
After all, it was Christmas day evening when word spread of the non runner. And yet it was well into Wednesday morning before the bookies took the non runner out of their market and slashed the price on my selection, Blood Cotil. Which won at a much shorter SP price than the advised odds of 5-4.
Cape Tribulation was better over hurdles than fences. Or at least that is what all the experts said. Indeed, just before the race began, ex jockey John Francome said the same and dismissed the chances of Cape Tribulation winning for us at Wetherby. But it was the jockey booking that attracted my attention.
Why was jockey Jack Doyle going all the way to West Yorkshire for one ride? Especially as the trainer of Cape Tribulation, Malcolm Jefferson, had another horse racing at Wetherby in a later race. And yet a different jockey was booked for that ride.
Was Doyle going to Wetherby to attend a car boot sale there? No. he was going there to ride the likely winner. Cape Tribulation won for members at odds of 7-2. And won easily.
Members may recall the words they heard from champion flat jockey Richard Hughes in my exclusive interview with him.
His tip to members was, if a jockey is going a long way for one ride on a busy day of racing, ask yourself why.
I told members Long Run was the most likely winner of the King George VI race at Kempton Park. And that, at 3-1, he was a bet. I didn’t tip the horse to win at odds of only 2-1 as I did not think that price to be value. I believe the performance of the winner proved me right, not wrong.
I have long had my doubts about the action of the horse and how good his regular jockey is.
Long Run won an exciting finish to the race and, in my opinion, won despite the jockey.
Long Run would have won easier with the likes of Ruby Walsh in the saddle. But Sam Whaley-Cohen and Long Run just saw off Captain Chris on the run in and won the race despite one big blunder, and despite the jockey approaching the last fence in slow motion.
I take nothing away from the gutsy performance by the horse which, having lost the lead to Captain Chris after the last fence, dug in and came back to win.
It was not a win that would make me bet on Long Run to win the Cheltenham Gold Cup next March.
I told members this morning that most winners today would be odds on favourites. And so it proved. Seven of my twelve winners were odds on when selected. The other five were odds against. Including that 12-1 winner in Ireland.
I believe that days like today sum up what my service is about. Alerting members to the most likely winners. Making sure they realise that some odds on winners can offer value. And having an eye out for a big priced one that could land us big returns. As did JacksonsLady. Which selections members back with their money is up to them. I simply point them in the direction of those I think will return profit. Today, Saturday, 13 selections did just that as we also had a good priced each way tip placed.