There was more profit to be had for members of VG Tips on Sunday. Following up that monster win on Supasundae the day before, subscribers to my selection service took money from the bookies in a variety of ways. As I am fond of telling them, there is more than one path to better betting.
ALLETRIX got the day off to a winning start on day 2 of the Dublin Festival at Leopardstown. Tipped to members when available at odds of 7/1.
Here is what I told members in the analysis they receive the day before racing:-
“Court Artist has some decent form, including when beating Alletrix by five lengths at Wexford last October. Court Artist carried three pounds more than Alletrix that day. But as they meet again here, Alletrix is a full stone lighter than Court Artist.
Jessica Harrington trained our 25/1 winner on Saturday, Supasundae. And she has a good chance of returns here with Alletrix. An 11 length runner up in a Class 1, Grade 3 race last month, there was no disgrace in that as the winner was my tip that day, Laurina (which has every chance of winning a big race at Cheltenham next month). So finishing second behind Laurina is a good bit of form.“
LADY BUTTONS, an each way tip in that same race, finished fourth and returned further profit as that one was available at 12/1 when selected for members.
SAMCRO won the Deloitte Novice Hurdle with such ease that you’d have to think that one is a winner at the Cheltenham Festival, regardless of which race trainer Gordon Elliott chooses. I told members Samcro would win, but that I don’t back horses at 8/13. Some members of VG Tips will have done so. Each to their own. Horses for courses and all that jazz. I did back an each way tip in the same race. PALOMA BLUE was 33/1 when I offered that one as alternative the night before racing. Paloma Blue finished third so returning some tidy placed profit on my stake.
TOTAL RECALL was my win only NAP at odds of 5/4.
A couple of weeks ago this was available at a much bigger price. Here’s what I told members the night before racing:- “Total Recall has been backed and backed and backed – heavily – by punters for the last couple of weeks. Priced up at 4/1 originally, the bookies did not think Willie Mullins would keep Total Recall in this race. Wrong!
It is some time since I saw a horse backed as constantly as this one has been punted the past few days. 5/4 is now the best price on offer. Why? Because Total Recall is thrown in at the weights. Rated 156 over fences, his handicap mark here over hurdles is only 125 and carrying 9 stone 10 pounds. He is racing from 31 pounds lower than over fences. Hurdles should be a doddle for him.”
The Irish Gold Cup was won by the 33/1 SP outsider, Edwulf. He narrowly beat one of my two each way tips, OUTLANDER (13/2). That one finished second and my other each way tip at odds of 8/1, DJAKADAM, was third. Two more pieces of profit without actually having tipped the winner of the race. More than one way to deprive a bookie of money.
I don’t back odds on unless I think the price on offer should be even shorter than it already is. I tipped WE HAVE A DREAM (2/5) to win the Triumph Hurdle Trial at Musselburgh, but once again told members that, personally speaking, I would not be backing that one only because of the price on offer.
My followers vary in their betting tastes. Some simply want to back a winner, regardless of price. Others, like me, try to spot value in the betting market. Whether that is on a win only basis or an each way selection at a big price. They don’t all deliver. You really cannot win them all, whatever you may read in some places.
The new Dublin Festival at Leopardstown was a winner, a big success on course and off. I am now buzzing for the Cheltenham Festival in March. The great racing in Ireland offered us some clues as to likely winners at Prestbury Park, Cheltenham between March 13 and 16.
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